TY - JOUR
T1 - Polypill therapy, subclinical atherosclerosis, and cardiovascular events - Implications for the use of preventive pharmacotherapy
T2 - MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis)
AU - Bittencourt, Márcio Sommer
AU - Blaha, Michael J.
AU - Blankstein, Ron
AU - Budoff, Matthew
AU - Vargas, Jose D.
AU - Blumenthal, Roger S.
AU - Agatston, Arthur S.
AU - Nasir, Khurram
N1 - Copyright:
Copyright 2014 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2014/2/11
Y1 - 2014/2/11
N2 - Objectives This study examines whether the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score can be used to define the target population to treat with a polypill. Background Prior studies have suggested a single polypill to reduce cardiovascular disease (CVD) at the population level. Methods Participants from MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were stratified using the criteria of 4 polypill studies (TIPS [The Indian Polycap Study], Poly-Iran, Wald, and the PILL [Program to Improve Life and Longevity] Collaboration). We compared coronary heart disease (CHD) and CVD event rates and calculated the 5-year number needed to treat (NNT) after stratification based on the CAC score. Results Among MESA participants eligible for TIPS, Poly-Iran, Wald, and the PILL Collaboration, CAC = 0 was observed in 58.6%, 54.5%, 38.9%, and 40.8%, respectively. The rate of CHD events among those with CAC = 0 varied from 1.2 to 1.9 events per 1,000 person-years, those with CAC scores from 1 to 100 had event rates ranging from 4.1 to 5.5, and in those with CAC scores >100 the event rate ranged from 11.6 to 13.3. The estimated 5-year NNT to prevent 1 CVD event ranged from 81-130 for patients with CAC = 0, 38-54 for those with CAC scores from 1 to 100, and 18-20 for those with CAC scores >100. Conclusions In MESA, among individuals eligible for treatment with the polypill, the majority of CHD and CVD events occurred in those with CAC scores >100. The group with CAC = 0 had a very low event rate and a high projected NNT. The avoidance of treatment in individuals with CAC = 0 could allow for significant reductions in the population considered for treatment, with a more selective use of the polypill and, as a result, avoidance of treatment in those who are unlikely to benefit.
AB - Objectives This study examines whether the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score can be used to define the target population to treat with a polypill. Background Prior studies have suggested a single polypill to reduce cardiovascular disease (CVD) at the population level. Methods Participants from MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were stratified using the criteria of 4 polypill studies (TIPS [The Indian Polycap Study], Poly-Iran, Wald, and the PILL [Program to Improve Life and Longevity] Collaboration). We compared coronary heart disease (CHD) and CVD event rates and calculated the 5-year number needed to treat (NNT) after stratification based on the CAC score. Results Among MESA participants eligible for TIPS, Poly-Iran, Wald, and the PILL Collaboration, CAC = 0 was observed in 58.6%, 54.5%, 38.9%, and 40.8%, respectively. The rate of CHD events among those with CAC = 0 varied from 1.2 to 1.9 events per 1,000 person-years, those with CAC scores from 1 to 100 had event rates ranging from 4.1 to 5.5, and in those with CAC scores >100 the event rate ranged from 11.6 to 13.3. The estimated 5-year NNT to prevent 1 CVD event ranged from 81-130 for patients with CAC = 0, 38-54 for those with CAC scores from 1 to 100, and 18-20 for those with CAC scores >100. Conclusions In MESA, among individuals eligible for treatment with the polypill, the majority of CHD and CVD events occurred in those with CAC scores >100. The group with CAC = 0 had a very low event rate and a high projected NNT. The avoidance of treatment in individuals with CAC = 0 could allow for significant reductions in the population considered for treatment, with a more selective use of the polypill and, as a result, avoidance of treatment in those who are unlikely to benefit.
KW - polypill
KW - risk stratification
KW - subclinical atherosclerosis
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U2 - 10.1016/j.jacc.2013.08.1640
DO - 10.1016/j.jacc.2013.08.1640
M3 - Article
C2 - 24161320
AN - SCOPUS:84893260493
SN - 0735-1097
VL - 63
SP - 434
EP - 443
JO - Journal of the American College of Cardiology
JF - Journal of the American College of Cardiology
IS - 5
ER -